2 bd · 1.5 ba ·
1,139 sqft ·
Built —
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 98 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,289/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$572
Tax + insurance
−$182
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$271
Net cashflow
$265/mo
Annual
$3,183/yr
Cap rate
9.21%
Cash-on-cash
10.43%
DSCR
1.46
1% rule
1.18%
Cash to close
$30,520
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $109k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $265 ($3k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $109k).
It's been on market 98 days — a 9% lower offer ($99k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $99k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $754 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 65/100 on livability (#141 in AR) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D, crime D-, amenities F.
Clarksville School District (town): math 29% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #147 of 238 in AR (top 62%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Market conditions: 154 active listings in the ZIP; 12 units permitted in Johnson County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Johnson County population projected at +8% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
2 sale attempts since 7y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $11k (9%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $69k; list at $109k implies a 58% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 9.2% vs local median 4.6% in Clarksville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 98 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-GKJW0J8ANNQANF
· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29