3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
756 sqft ·
Built 1970
· SingleFamily
· Under Contract
· 78 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,544/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$524
Tax + insurance
−$88
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$324
Net cashflow
$607/mo
Annual
$7,281/yr
Cap rate
13.57%
Cash-on-cash
26.00%
DSCR
2.16
1% rule
1.54%
Cash to close
$28,000
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $100k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $607 ($7k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $100k).
It's been on market 78 days — a 6% lower offer ($94k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $94k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $691 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 56/100 on livability (#482 in GA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
Butts County (rural): math 24% / reading 31% proficiency, ranked #103 of 174 in GA (top 59%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 61% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Jackson Elementary School (math 32% / reading 25%, grade F, #668 of 1,228 statewide, top 55%, 534 students, 83% FRL); Henderson Middle School (math 20% / reading 32%, grade F, #286 of 470 statewide, top 61%, 767 students, 83% FRL); Jackson High School (math 12% / reading 37%, grade F, #184 of 424 statewide, top 48%, 1,070 students, 83% FRL) — zoned schools average 83% FRL vs 61% district-wide (22 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Market conditions: 325 active listings in the ZIP; 60 units permitted in Butts County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Butts County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $25k (20%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 43% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 13.6% vs local median 3.7% in Jackson — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 78 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1970 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-GKV9Z78WZ6HJEP
· Data 4 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29