3 bd · 1.5 ba ·
924 sqft ·
Built 1978
· Land
· Active
· 36 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,691/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$262
Tax + insurance
−$40
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$355
Net cashflow
$1,033/mo
Annual
$12,400/yr
Cap rate
31.09%
Cash-on-cash
88.57%
DSCR
4.94
1% rule
3.38%
Cash to close
$14,000
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath land listed at $50k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($12k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $50k).
It's been on market 36 days — a 3% lower offer ($48k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $48k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $346 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 85/100 on livability (#77 in PA, #558 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: employment D-.
Northern Lehigh SD (suburban): math 24% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #398 of 539 in PA (top 74%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Slatington El Sch (math 26% / reading 50%, grade F, #990 of 1,518 statewide, top 66%, 483 students, 100% FRL); Northern Lehigh Ms (math 17% / reading 42%, grade F, #385 of 512 statewide, top 76%, 224 students, 100% FRL); Northern Lehigh Shs (math 70% / reading 24%, grade D-, #167 of 437 statewide, top 39%, 487 students, 68% FRL) — zoned schools average 89% FRL vs 34% district-wide (55 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Market conditions: 66 active listings in the ZIP; 765 units permitted in Lehigh County in 2024 (286 in 5+ unit buildings).
Lehigh County population projected at +21% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 31.1% vs local median 2.8% in Washington — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 36 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1978 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-GMF9FC7YVKWEGK
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29