4 bd · 2.5 ba ·
1,704 sqft ·
Built 1974
· Townhouse
· Under Contract
· 82 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,334/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,573
Tax + insurance
−$328
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$490
Net cashflow
$-57/mo
Annual
$-688/yr
Cap rate
6.06%
Cash-on-cash
-0.82%
DSCR
0.96
1% rule
0.78%
Cash to close
$83,972
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath townhouse listed at $300k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-57 ($-688/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $290k (3.4% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $233k (22.2% below list).
It's been on market 82 days — a 6% lower offer ($282k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $233k (22.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 83/100 on livability (#38 in VA, #880 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: cost of living C-, commute F.
Va Beach City Public School District (urban): math 69% / reading 78% proficiency, ranked #10 of 131 in VA (top 8%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical.
Zoned schools: Windsor Oaks Elementary (math 62% / reading 77%, grade A-, #313 of 1,108 statewide, top 32%, 509 students, 75% FRL); Plaza Middle (math 76% / reading 84%, grade A+, #24 of 342 statewide, top 8%, 1,036 students, 46% FRL); Green Run High (math 64% / reading 69%, grade B, #195 of 319 statewide, top 62%, 1,517 students, 69% FRL) — zoned schools average 63% FRL vs 28% district-wide (35 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.9%/yr); 232 active listings in the ZIP; 28 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 20d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 666 units permitted in Virginia Beach city in 2024 (347 in 5+ unit buildings).
Virginia Beach County population projected at +6% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 98% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 6.1% vs local median 3.5% in Virginia Beach — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($79k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 82 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 22% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1974 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-GMYJWSA7VS03GF
· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29