4 bd · 2.5 ba ·
5,052 sqft ·
Built 1956
· SingleFamily
· Under Contract
· 419 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,941/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$797
Tax + insurance
−$419
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$408
Net cashflow
$317/mo
Annual
$3,807/yr
Cap rate
8.80%
Cash-on-cash
8.95%
DSCR
1.40
1% rule
1.28%
Cash to close
$42,560
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $152k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $317 ($4k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $152k).
It's been on market 419 days — a 12% lower offer ($134k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $134k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 83/100 on livability (#6 in GA, #919 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: schools C-, cost of living C-.
Atlanta Public Schools (urban): math 28% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #80 of 174 in GA (top 46%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 71% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Watch-outs: property tax is 2.8% of price; built in 1956 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.5%/yr); 294 active listings in the ZIP; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 11,565 units permitted in Fulton County in 2024 (8,159 in 5+ unit buildings).
Fulton County population projected at +38% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
10 sale attempts since 4y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $95k (38%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 8.8% vs local median 3.1% in Atlanta — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $1,941/mo this rent would consume 55% of the median local household income ($42k/yr) (locally 1293% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 419 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1956 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-GNH64TA7516KG9
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29