3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
2,560 sqft ·
Built 2007
· Manufactured
· Active
· 43 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,585/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$970
Tax + insurance
−$124
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$333
Net cashflow
$158/mo
Annual
$1,898/yr
Cap rate
7.32%
Cash-on-cash
3.66%
DSCR
1.16
1% rule
0.86%
Cash to close
$51,800
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $185k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $158 ($2k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $159k (14.3% below list).
It's been on market 43 days — a 3% lower offer ($179k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $159k (14.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $20k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $18k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 68/100 on livability (#83 in AR) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
Sheridan School District (town): math 36% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #89 of 238 in AR (top 37%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Sheridan Elementary School (596 students, 47% FRL); Sheridan High School (math 26% / reading 36%, grade F, #131 of 292 statewide, top 45%, 1,271 students, 35% FRL) — zoned schools at 41% FRL track the district average.
Market conditions: 13 active listings in the ZIP; 28 units permitted in Grant County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Grant County population projected to shrink 3% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
3 sale attempts since 7y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $114k; list at $185k implies a 63% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $52k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 43 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 14% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-GNTQJ0BV5Q8QWV
· Data 7 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29