3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
2,376 sqft ·
Built 1978
· SingleFamily
· Under Contract
· 14 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,729/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,180
Tax + insurance
−$148
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$363
Net cashflow
$38/mo
Annual
$457/yr
Cap rate
6.50%
Cash-on-cash
0.72%
DSCR
1.03
1% rule
0.77%
Cash to close
$63,000
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $225k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $38 ($457/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $173k (23.1% below list).
Only 14 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $173k (23.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 66/100 on livability (#184 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, cost of living A-, employment B; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
Coweta County (rural): math 37% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #36 of 174 in GA (top 21%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Arnco-Sargent Elementary School (math 32% / reading 27%, grade F, #633 of 1,228 statewide, top 54%, 373 students, 64% FRL); Evans Middle School (math 26% / reading 40%, grade F, #213 of 470 statewide, top 47%, 770 students, 53% FRL); Newnan High School (math 42% / reading 26%, grade F, #93 of 424 statewide, top 23%, 2,335 students, 41% FRL) — zoned schools average 53% FRL vs 37% district-wide (16 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.9%/yr); 539 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 963 units permitted in Coweta County in 2024 (8 in 5+ unit buildings).
Coweta County population projected at +31% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 6.5% vs local median 3.8% in Newnan — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1978 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-GP0AWW6S9R0Z7D
· Data 6 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29