2 bd · 1.5 ba ·
1,240 sqft ·
Built 1979
· Condo
· Active
· 191 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,713/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,080
Tax + insurance
−$343
HOA
−$740
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$570
Net cashflow
$-21/mo
Annual
$-247/yr
Cap rate
6.17%
Cash-on-cash
-0.43%
DSCR
0.98
1% rule
1.32%
Cash to close
$57,680
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.5-bath condo listed at $206k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-21 ($-247/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $203k (1.4% below list).
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $206k).
It's been on market 191 days — a 12% lower offer ($181k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $181k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
Monroe-Woodbury Central School District (suburban): math 50% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #250 of 590 in NY (top 42%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 15% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Watch-outs: HOA is 27% of rent.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.5%/yr); 316 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 1,746 units permitted in Orange County in 2024 (1,265 in 5+ unit buildings).
Cap rate 6.2% vs local median 2.2% in Tuxedo — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 41% of the median local income ($79k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 191 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Built in 1979 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Moderate: Kitchen cabinets
— Worn appearance
Minor: Kitchen countertops
— Need cleaning
Minor: Bathroom fixtures
— Need cleaning
CashFlowRE · CFR-GP3SZT36X9VC3V
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29