1 bd · 1.0 ba ·
844 sqft ·
Built 1967
· Condo
· Active
· 59 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$4,409/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,442
Tax + insurance
−$955
HOA
−$1,259
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$926
Net cashflow
$-173/mo
Annual
$-2,076/yr
Cap rate
7.40%
Cash-on-cash
3.95%
DSCR
1.18
1% rule
1.60%
Cash to close
$77,000
Investor read
This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $275k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-173 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $244k (11.1% below list).
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $275k).
It's been on market 59 days — a 3% lower offer ($267k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $244k (11.1% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
In year one you build about $5k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $3k appreciation (1.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 80/100 on livability (#108 in FL, #1,672 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, commute A+, health & safety A+; Watch: housing C-, amenities D-, cost of living F.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo; HOA is 29% of rent.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.5%/yr); 670 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 10,051 units permitted in Miami-Dade County in 2024 (7,758 in 5+ unit buildings).
Miami-Dade County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
9 sale attempts since 10y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
By year 7, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→27/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 7.4% vs local median 1.5% in Miami Beach — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $4,409/mo this rent would consume 49% of the median local household income ($107k/yr) (locally 870% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 59 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 11% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1967 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
CashFlowRE · CFR-GP7DFT57GJ6CX9
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29