2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,002 sqft ·
Built 1910
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 47 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$939/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$131
Tax + insurance
−$54
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$197
Net cashflow
$557/mo
Annual
$6,683/yr
Cap rate
33.10%
Cash-on-cash
95.74%
DSCR
5.26
1% rule
3.77%
Cash to close
$6,980
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $25k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $557 ($7k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($939 rent vs $25k).
It's been on market 47 days — a 3% lower offer ($24k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $24k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $2k of equity ($173 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (8.6% local appreciation)).
Location reads 67/100 on livability (#283 in NE) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
Medicine Valley Public Schools (rural): math 50% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #151 of 245 in NE (top 62%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Medicine Valley Elementary (math 47% / reading 62%, grade C, #161 of 502 statewide, top 38%, 117 students, 55% FRL); Medicine Valley Jr-Sr High School (math 44% / reading 54%, grade D, #107 of 261 statewide, top 52%, 92 students, 55% FRL) — zoned schools average 55% FRL vs 23% district-wide (32 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Watch-outs: built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 5 active listings in the ZIP; 3 units permitted in Frontier County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Frontier County population projected at -28% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
At projected returns (8.6% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $7k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 47 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-GPM411B6XC90NY
· Data 9 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29