3 bd · 2.5 ba ·
1,400 sqft ·
Built 1974
· Condo
· Active
· 152 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,594/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$839
Tax + insurance
−$267
HOA
−$170
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$335
Net cashflow
$-17/mo
Annual
$-198/yr
Cap rate
6.17%
Cash-on-cash
-0.44%
DSCR
0.98
1% rule
1.00%
Cash to close
$44,800
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath condo listed at $160k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-17 ($-198/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $158k (1.5% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $159k (0.4% below list).
It's been on market 152 days — a 12% lower offer ($141k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $141k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 73/100 on livability (#39 in SC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, cost of living A, employment A-; Watch: crime D, amenities F, commute F.
Richland 02 (suburban): math 35% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #29 of 80 in SC (top 36%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Forest Lake Elementary (math 42% / reading 46%, grade F, #239 of 597 statewide, top 41%, 614 students, 70% FRL); Dent Middle (math 25% / reading 42%, grade F, #113 of 229 statewide, top 50%, 1,018 students, 100% FRL); Richland Northeast High (math 42% / reading 82%, grade B-, #99 of 196 statewide, top 53%, 1,359 students, 70% FRL) — zoned schools average 80% FRL vs 38% district-wide (42 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.8%/yr); 117 active listings in the ZIP; 27 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 3,472 units permitted in Richland County in 2024 (1,096 in 5+ unit buildings).
Richland County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
2 sale attempts since 6y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 68% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 152 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1974 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
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