5 bd · 3.0 ba ·
2,012 sqft ·
Built 2026
· Land
· Pending
· 42 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,375/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,741
Tax + insurance
−$553
HOA
−$42
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$499
Net cashflow
$-459/mo
Annual
$-5,509/yr
Cap rate
4.63%
Cash-on-cash
-5.93%
DSCR
0.74
1% rule
0.72%
Cash to close
$92,932
Investor read
This is a 5-bed/3.0-bath land listed at $332k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-459 ($-6k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $265k (20.0% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $238k (28.4% below list).
It's been on market 42 days — a 3% lower offer ($322k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $238k (28.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 71/100 on livability (#385 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, employment A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
Escambia (suburban): math 40% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #56 of 73 in FL (top 77%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Market conditions: 513 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 1,479 units permitted in Escambia County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Escambia County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($86k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 42 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 28% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-GPYTFT5VD8BTST
· Data 6 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29