3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,036 sqft ·
Built 2026
· Manufactured
· Active
· 109 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,389/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$144
Tax + insurance
−$46
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$292
Net cashflow
$908/mo
Annual
$10,894/yr
Cap rate
46.05%
Cash-on-cash
142.00%
DSCR
7.32
1% rule
5.07%
Cash to close
$7,672
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $27k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $908 ($11k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $27k).
It's been on market 109 days — a 9% lower offer ($25k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $25k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $189 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $822 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 64/100 on livability (#683 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
Alton CUSD 11 (suburban): math 12% / reading 13% proficiency, ranked #544 of 620 in IL (top 88%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 60% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Market conditions: 63 active listings in the ZIP; 336 units permitted in Madison County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Madison County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $8k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 46.1% vs local median 3.7% in Godfrey — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 109 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Minor: interior paint
— The exterior paint appears to be in good condition, but the interior paint is not visible.
Minor: interior flooring
— The exterior flooring appears to be in good condition, but the interior flooring is not visible.
Minor: interior systems
— The exterior systems appear to be in good condition, but the interior systems are not visible.
CashFlowRE · CFR-GPZQF8E0TSD0DG
· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29