4 bd · 2.0 ba ·
2,212 sqft ·
Built 1926
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 80 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,458/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$813
Tax + insurance
−$160
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$306
Net cashflow
$179/mo
Annual
$2,142/yr
Cap rate
7.68%
Cash-on-cash
4.94%
DSCR
1.22
1% rule
0.94%
Cash to close
$43,400
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $155k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $179 ($2k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $146k (5.9% below list).
It's been on market 80 days — a 6% lower offer ($146k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $146k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $5k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $4k appreciation (2.8% local appreciation)).
Location reads 65/100 on livability (#296 in NC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime D+, employment D, amenities F.
Wilson County Schools (rural): math 38% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #119 of 178 in NC (top 67%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Stantonsburg Elementary (math 32% / reading 27%, grade F, #975 of 1,410 statewide, top 71%, 186 students, 98% FRL); Speight Middle (math 23% / reading 33%, grade F, #360 of 475 statewide, top 77%, 294 students, 99% FRL); Beddingfield High (math 57% / reading 32%, grade F, #352 of 535 statewide, top 68%, 682 students, 98% FRL) — zoned schools average 99% FRL vs 58% district-wide (40 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Watch-outs: built in 1926 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 8 active listings in the ZIP; 580 units permitted in Wilson County in 2024 (168 in 5+ unit buildings).
Wilson County population projected to shrink 5% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
4 sale attempts since 9y ago; this cycle's ask is 3% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
Current owner paid $75k; list at $155k implies a 106% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (2.8% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $43k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 7, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk; severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 80 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1926 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-GQ2E0S5MRV47BJ
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29