4 bd · 2.5 ba ·
1,816 sqft ·
Built 2022
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 100 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,290/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,567
Tax + insurance
−$481
HOA
−$40
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$481
Net cashflow
$-280/mo
Annual
$-3,355/yr
Cap rate
5.17%
Cash-on-cash
-4.01%
DSCR
0.82
1% rule
0.77%
Cash to close
$83,692
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $299k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-280 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $250k (16.5% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $229k (23.4% below list).
It's been on market 100 days — a 9% lower offer ($272k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $229k (23.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $6k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $3k appreciation (1.2% local appreciation)).
Location reads 72/100 on livability (#74 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, crime A; Watch: schools D, employment D, amenities F.
Long County (rural): math 26% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #115 of 174 in GA (top 66%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 61% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Market conditions: 409 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 298 units permitted in Long County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Long County population projected at +72% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
5 sale attempts since 4y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $16k (5%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($75k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 100 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 23% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-GQ33GYE7F7BHHC
· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29