731 College Ave

Red Wing, MN 55066

$265,000C

2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,494 sqft · Built 1880 · MultiFamily · Active · 24 DOM

Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)

• Estimated rent: $2,793/mo
• Mortgage (P&I): −$1,390
• Tax + insurance: −$333
• HOA: −$0
• Vac / Maint / Mgmt: −$587
• Net cashflow: $484/mo
• Annual: $5,808/yr
• Cap rate: 8.48%
• Cash-on-cash: 7.83%
• DSCR: 1.35
• 1% rule: 1.05%
• Cash to close: $74,200

Investor read

• This is a 2 × 2-bed/2.0-bath units multifamily listed at $265k.
• At list price, monthly cash flow is $484 ($6k/yr) — positive. Per door: $242/mo.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $265k).
• It's been on market 24 days — a 2% lower offer ($261k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• Recommended offer: $261k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Location reads 81/100 on livability (#64 in MN, #1,570 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities D.
• Red Wing Public School District (rural): math 36% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #220 of 301 in MN (top 73%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Watch-outs: built in 1880 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
• Market conditions: 143 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 60% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 86 units permitted in Goodhue County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
• Goodhue County population projected at -11% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
• Current owner paid $100k; list at $265k implies a 165% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
• Cap rate 8.5% vs local median 3.6% in Red Wing — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
• At $2,793/mo this rent would consume 46% of the median local household income ($74k/yr) (locally 504% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Questions for listing agent

• Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
• What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
• Built in 1880 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
• Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
• What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
• What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
• How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.