2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,260 sqft ·
Built 1977
· Manufactured
· Pending
· 92 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,858/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$197
Tax + insurance
−$62
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$390
Net cashflow
$1,209/mo
Annual
$14,505/yr
Cap rate
44.97%
Cash-on-cash
138.14%
DSCR
7.15
1% rule
4.95%
Cash to close
$10,500
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $38k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($15k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $38k).
It's been on market 92 days — a 9% lower offer ($34k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $34k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $259 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 87/100 on livability (#14 in OR, #311 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: crime D-, cost of living F.
Tigard-Tualatin SD 23J (suburban): math 47% / reading 65% proficiency, ranked #6 of 58 in OR (top 10%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.4%/yr); 412 active listings in the ZIP; 34 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 16d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 2,224 units permitted in Washington County in 2024 (242 in 5+ unit buildings).
Washington County population projected at +33% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $2k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $10k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 45.0% vs local median 2.5% in Tigard — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 92 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Built in 1977 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Minor: kitchen cabinets
— dated and could be replaced
Minor: bathroom fixtures
— standard and could be updated
Minor: landscaping
— some overgrown areas
CashFlowRE · CFR-GSSFQZC4RJHY3M
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29