2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
950 sqft ·
Built 1962
· SingleFamily
· Under Contract
· 86 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$850/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$194
Tax + insurance
−$62
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$178
Net cashflow
$416/mo
Annual
$4,990/yr
Cap rate
19.78%
Cash-on-cash
48.16%
DSCR
3.14
1% rule
2.30%
Cash to close
$10,360
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $37k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $416 ($5k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($850 rent vs $37k).
It's been on market 86 days — a 6% lower offer ($35k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $35k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $4k of equity ($256 loan paydown + $4k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 64/100 on livability (#167 in AR) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A, health & safety A; Watch: crime D, schools F, amenities F.
Newport School District (town): math 23% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #194 of 238 in AR (top 82%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Market conditions: 40 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 13 units permitted in Jackson County in 2024 (10 in 5+ unit buildings).
Jackson County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $3k (8%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $11k; list at $37k implies a 236% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $10k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 8, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 19.8% vs local median 5.1% in Newport — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 86 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1962 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-GVK9F37FNYNNK1
· Data 5 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29