1 bd · 1.0 ba ·
640 sqft ·
Built —
· Manufactured
· Active
· 553 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,347/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$67
Tax + insurance
−$21
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$283
Net cashflow
$976/mo
Annual
$11,711/yr
Cap rate
97.79%
Cash-on-cash
326.76%
DSCR
15.54
1% rule
10.53%
Cash to close
$3,584
Investor read
This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $72k. Condition is rated poor.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $976 ($12k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $72k).
It's been on market 553 days — a 12% lower offer ($63k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $63k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $88 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $384 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 75/100 on livability (#243 in NY, #3,822 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, schools B+; Watch: employment C-, amenities F, health & safety D-.
Gorham-Middlesex Central School District (Marcus Whitman) (rural): math 36% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #519 of 590 in NY (top 88%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+8.5%/yr); 223 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 284 units permitted in Ontario County in 2024 (69 in 5+ unit buildings).
Ontario County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $4k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 97.8% vs local median 3.4% in Canandaigua — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 553 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: Roof
— No roof photos provided, but given the lack of other photos, it's likely in poor condition.
Major: Exterior
— No exterior photos provided, but given the lack of other photos, it's likely in poor condition.
Major: Interior walls/paint
— No interior wall/paint photos provided, but given the lack of other photos, it's likely in poor condition.
Major: Flooring
— No flooring photos provided, but given the lack of other photos, it's likely in poor condition.
Major: Kitchen
— No kitchen photos provided, but given the lack of other photos, it's likely in poor condition.
Major: Bath
— No bathroom photos provided, but given the lack of other photos, it's likely in poor condition.
CashFlowRE · CFR-GVPEVP5W1Z1ZB0
· Data 3 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29