3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,824 sqft ·
Built 1900
· SingleFamily
· Under Contract
· 109 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,153/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$414
Tax + insurance
−$108
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$242
Net cashflow
$389/mo
Annual
$4,663/yr
Cap rate
12.19%
Cash-on-cash
21.08%
DSCR
1.94
1% rule
1.46%
Cash to close
$22,120
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $79k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $389 ($5k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $79k).
It's been on market 109 days — a 9% lower offer ($72k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $72k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $546 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 68/100 on livability (#146 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A-; Watch: crime C-, amenities F, commute F.
Washington County (town): math 24% / reading 21% proficiency, ranked #138 of 174 in GA (top 79%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 65% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Ridge Road Primary School (646 students, 96% FRL); T. J. Elder Middle School (math 16% / reading 23%, grade F, #356 of 470 statewide, top 78%, 662 students, 78% FRL); Washington County High School (math 17% / reading 17%, grade F, #277 of 424 statewide, top 67%, 896 students, 78% FRL) — zoned schools average 84% FRL vs 65% district-wide (19 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 47 active listings in the ZIP; 66 units permitted in Washington County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Washington County population projected at -19% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (11%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 68% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 12.2% vs local median 3.8% in Sandersville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 109 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-GVS8NG8JE7Q63Y
· Data 2 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29