3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,056 sqft ·
Built 2025
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 103 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,824/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$366
Tax + insurance
−$116
HOA
−$95
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$383
Net cashflow
$864/mo
Annual
$10,367/yr
Cap rate
21.15%
Cash-on-cash
53.04%
DSCR
3.36
1% rule
2.61%
Cash to close
$19,544
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $70k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $864 ($10k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $70k).
It's been on market 103 days — a 9% lower offer ($64k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $64k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $483 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 62/100 on livability (#865 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D, health & safety D, schools D-.
Madison Local (suburban): math 58% / reading 59% proficiency, ranked #308 of 656 in OH (top 47%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Market conditions: 97 active listings in the ZIP; 448 units permitted in Lake County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Lake County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
3 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (13%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($70k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 103 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-GVSQKC89J7BHNM
· Data 3 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29