3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,376 sqft ·
Built 1900
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 109 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,170/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$498
Tax + insurance
−$158
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$246
Net cashflow
$268/mo
Annual
$3,214/yr
Cap rate
9.68%
Cash-on-cash
12.08%
DSCR
1.54
1% rule
1.23%
Cash to close
$26,600
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $95k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $268 ($3k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $95k).
It's been on market 109 days — a 9% lower offer ($86k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $86k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $9k of equity ($657 loan paydown + $9k appreciation (9.2% local appreciation)).
Location reads 46/100 on livability (#1,351 in IL) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
Bond County CUSD 2 (town): math 35% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #345 of 919 in IL (top 38%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Greenville Elem School (math 24% / reading 24%, grade F, #850 of 2,056 statewide, top 45%, 531 students, 0% FRL); Greenville Jr High School (math 24% / reading 24%, grade F, #332 of 665 statewide, top 55%, 300 students, 0% FRL); Bond Cty Comm Unit 2 High School (math 32% / reading 27%, grade F, #187 of 693 statewide, top 30%, 504 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 42% district-wide (42 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 7 active listings in the ZIP; 35 units permitted in Bond County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Bond County population projected at -23% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $5k (5%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
At projected returns (9.2% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $27k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 109 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Minor: paint
— peeling in some areas
Moderate: windows
— some appear old
Minor: landscaping
— bare yard, some trees
CashFlowRE · CFR-GW5G8HAVNGHNWY
· Data 2 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29