3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,887 sqft ·
Built —
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 38 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,541/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,704
Tax + insurance
−$541
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$534
Net cashflow
$-238/mo
Annual
$-2,854/yr
Cap rate
5.41%
Cash-on-cash
-3.14%
DSCR
0.86
1% rule
0.78%
Cash to close
$90,972
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $250k. Condition is rated poor.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-238 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $250k).
It's been on market 38 days — a 3% lower offer ($242k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $242k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 61/100 on livability (#237 in LA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, employment B; Watch: crime D-, amenities F, commute F.
Calcasieu Parish (other): math 30% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #29 of 98 in LA (top 30%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Vincent Settlement Elementary School (math 62% / reading 67%, grade B, #40 of 646 statewide, top 7%, 321 students, 41% FRL); W. W. Lewis Middle School (math 33% / reading 48%, grade F, #62 of 218 statewide, top 29%, 777 students, 49% FRL); Sulphur High School (math 36% / reading 53%, grade F, #58 of 265 statewide, top 23%, 2,043 students, 47% FRL).
Zoned-school proficiency averages 50% at this address vs 37% district-wide (+13 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Calcasieu Parish average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
Market conditions: 236 active listings in the ZIP; 1,298 units permitted in Calcasieu Parish in 2024 (526 in 5+ unit buildings).
Calcasieu County population projected at +11% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Cap rate 5.4% vs local median 8.3% in Carlyss — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 38 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: exterior siding
— The siding looks weathered and possibly damaged, indicating a need for replacement.
Major: roof
— The roof appears to be in poor condition, with visible signs of wear and tear, indicating a need for replacement or repair.
Major: landscaping
— The landscaping and fencing appear to be in poor condition, with overgrown grass and a lack of maintenance, indicating a need for improvement.
CashFlowRE · CFR-GW5JVV3YZME6V9
· Data 23 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29