3 bd · 1.5 ba ·
1,480 sqft ·
Built 1979
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 15 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,858/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,179
Tax + insurance
−$613
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$390
Net cashflow
$-325/mo
Annual
$-3,905/yr
Cap rate
4.56%
Cash-on-cash
-6.20%
DSCR
0.72
1% rule
0.83%
Cash to close
$62,972
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $225k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-325 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $167k (25.6% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $186k (17.4% below list).
It's been on market 15 days — a 2% lower offer ($222k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $167k (25.6% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 79/100 on livability (#145 in NY, #2,223 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D-, crime D-.
Greece Central School District (suburban): math 35% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #544 of 590 in NY (top 92%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: property tax is 2.8% of price.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.4%/yr); 129 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 1,169 units permitted in Monroe County in 2024 (591 in 5+ unit buildings).
Monroe County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
2 sale attempts since 15y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $118k; list at $225k implies a 91% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Cap rate 4.6% vs local median 3.7% in Greece — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Built in 1979 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-GXA4DW91KKAEMA
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29