2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
648 sqft ·
Built 1970
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 154 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$813/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$217
Tax + insurance
−$120
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$171
Net cashflow
$305/mo
Annual
$3,664/yr
Cap rate
17.05%
Cash-on-cash
38.42%
DSCR
2.71
1% rule
1.96%
Cash to close
$11,612
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $41k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $305 ($4k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($813 rent vs $41k).
It's been on market 154 days — a 12% lower offer ($36k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $36k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-1.8%/yr); year-one equity from $287 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $730 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 79/100 on livability (#147 in OH, #2,275 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A; Watch: crime D+, amenities F, employment D-.
Fairland Local (suburban): math 63% / reading 73% proficiency, ranked #177 of 656 in OH (top 27%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
Market conditions: 72 active listings in the ZIP; 18 units permitted in Lawrence County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Lawrence County population projected at -22% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
2 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (-1.8% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $12k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; major wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
This rent is only 15% of the median local income ($66k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 154 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1970 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-GXEEQ2D52Y0GHA
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29