8 bd · 4.0 ba ·
2,737 sqft ·
Built 1930
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 122 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$15,720/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$5,506
Tax + insurance
−$1,531
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$3,301
Net cashflow
$5,381/mo
Annual
$64,574/yr
Cap rate
12.44%
Cash-on-cash
21.96%
DSCR
1.98
1% rule
1.50%
Cash to close
$294,000
Investor read
This is a 4 × 2-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $1.05M.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $5k ($65k/yr) — positive. Per door: $1k/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($16k rent vs $1.05M).
It's been on market 122 days — a 12% lower offer ($924k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $924k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $60k of equity ($7k loan paydown + $52k appreciation (5.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 75/100 on livability (#268 in NY, #4,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
Watch-outs: built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.0%/yr); 114 active listings in the ZIP; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 10,063 units permitted in Kings County in 2024 (9,789 in 5+ unit buildings).
Kings County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
2 sale attempts since 13y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $150k (12%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $710k; 48% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
At projected returns (5.0% appreciation + 7.0% rent growth), your $294k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$96k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk; severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 12.4% vs local median 2.6% in New York — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $15,720/mo this rent would consume 432% of the median local household income ($44k/yr) (locally 4426% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 122 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
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· Data 2 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29