3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
984 sqft ·
Built 1990
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 73 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,996/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,148
Tax + insurance
−$365
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$419
Net cashflow
$63/mo
Annual
$762/yr
Cap rate
6.64%
Cash-on-cash
1.24%
DSCR
1.06
1% rule
0.91%
Cash to close
$61,320
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $219k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $63 ($762/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $200k (8.9% below list).
It's been on market 73 days — a 6% lower offer ($206k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $200k (8.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 69/100 on livability (#51 in MS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety D+, amenities F, commute F.
Lafayette County School District (town): math 47% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #29 of 130 in MS (top 22%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Lafayette Upper Elementary School (math 46% / reading 39%, grade F, #105 of 375 statewide, top 28%, 823 students, 100% FRL); Lafayette Middle School (math 45% / reading 42%, grade D, #46 of 179 statewide, top 25%, 447 students, 99% FRL); Lafayette High School (math 53% / reading 42%, grade D, #28 of 197 statewide, top 14%, 868 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 49% district-wide (50 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.8%/yr); 857 active listings in the ZIP; 503 units permitted in Lafayette County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Lafayette County population projected at +61% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
3 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $65k (23%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($68k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 73 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-GYK05F815Y0RAF
· Data 10 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29