2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
924 sqft ·
Built 2012
· Manufactured
· Active
· 13 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,356/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$729
Tax + insurance
−$114
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$285
Net cashflow
$229/mo
Annual
$2,743/yr
Cap rate
8.27%
Cash-on-cash
7.05%
DSCR
1.31
1% rule
0.98%
Cash to close
$38,920
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $139k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $229 ($3k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $136k (2.4% below list).
Only 13 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $136k (2.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $961 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
Chimacum School District (rural): math 41% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #157 of 291 in WA (top 54%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Chimacum Creek Primary School (191 students, 64% FRL); Chimacum Junior/Senior High School (258 students, 55% FRL) — zoned schools average 59% FRL vs 40% district-wide (19 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Market conditions: 37 active listings in the ZIP; 147 units permitted in Jefferson County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Jefferson County population projected to shrink 5% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
3 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $115k; 21% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Cap rate 8.3% vs local median 1.8% in Port Hadlock-Irondale — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-GYX2MR5GB1CF9H
· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29