3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,456 sqft ·
Built —
· Manufactured
· Active
· 342 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,067/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$775
Tax + insurance
−$246
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$224
Net cashflow
$-179/mo
Annual
$-2,145/yr
Cap rate
4.84%
Cash-on-cash
-5.18%
DSCR
0.77
1% rule
0.72%
Cash to close
$41,400
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $70k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-179 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $70k).
It's been on market 342 days — a 12% lower offer ($62k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $62k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 68/100 on livability (#224 in IN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities C-, crime F, commute F.
Elkhart Community Schools (urban): math 18% / reading 25% proficiency, ranked #271 of 301 in IN (top 90%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Zoned schools: Pinewood Elementary School (math 30% / reading 25%, grade F, #733 of 994 statewide, top 74%, 570 students, 64% FRL); North Side Middle School (math 15% / reading 31%, grade F, #263 of 330 statewide, top 80%, 627 students, 72% FRL).
Watch-outs: property tax is 3.2% of price.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.0%/yr); 403 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 93d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 484 units permitted in Elkhart County in 2024 (136 in 5+ unit buildings).
Elkhart County population projected at +7% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 342 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Moderate: kitchen cabinets
— dated and worn
Moderate: bathroom fixtures
— dated and worn
Major: flooring
— damaged carpet
Moderate: exterior siding
— moderate wear
CashFlowRE · CFR-GZE99J5ZK15D1Z
· Data 19 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29