3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,280 sqft ·
Built —
· Manufactured
· Active
· 18 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,052/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$629
Tax + insurance
−$200
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$221
Net cashflow
$2/mo
Annual
$21/yr
Cap rate
6.31%
Cash-on-cash
0.06%
DSCR
1.00
1% rule
0.88%
Cash to close
$33,600
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $120k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $2 ($21/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $105k (12.3% below list).
It's been on market 18 days — a 2% lower offer ($118k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $105k (12.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $4k of equity ($830 loan paydown + $4k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 41/100 on livability (#531 in KY) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
Lawrence County (town): math 23% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #95 of 165 in KY (top 58%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Blaine Elementary School (math 27% / reading 42%, grade F, #301 of 676 statewide, top 48%, 162 students, 78% FRL); Louisa Middle School (math 22% / reading 43%, grade F, #116 of 217 statewide, top 55%, 457 students, 67% FRL); Lawrence County High School (math 32% / reading 47%, grade F, #40 of 254 statewide, top 19%, 738 students, 63% FRL).
Market conditions: 8 active listings in the ZIP.
Lawrence County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $34k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 8, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: Landscaping
— Overgrown and unkempt landscaping detracts from curb appeal.
Major: Fencing
— Fencing is in poor condition and appears to be falling apart, requiring repair or replacement.
Minor: Kitchen cabinets
— Cabinets appear clean but dated, suggesting a minor update would be beneficial.
Minor: Bathroom fixtures
— Fixtures are functional but lack modern appeal, suggesting a minor update would be beneficial.
Minor: Exterior siding
— Siding shows some discoloration, suggesting a minor touch-up or repainting would be beneficial.
CashFlowRE · CFR-GZFV472560R437
· Data 36 min agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29