6 bd · 3.9 ba ·
2,450 sqft ·
Built 1950
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 103 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$8,608/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$4,982
Tax + insurance
−$1,808
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$1,808
Net cashflow
$11/mo
Annual
$130/yr
Cap rate
6.31%
Cash-on-cash
0.05%
DSCR
1.00
1% rule
0.91%
Cash to close
$266,000
Investor read
This is a 3 × 2-bed/1-bath units multifamily listed at $950k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $11 ($130/yr) — positive. Per door: $4/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $861k (9.4% below list).
It's been on market 103 days — a 9% lower offer ($864k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $861k (9.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $7k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $28k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 66/100 on livability (#646 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, health & safety B; Watch: amenities F, commute F, cost of living F.
Middle Country Central School District (suburban): math 60% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #217 of 590 in NY (top 37%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: New Lane Memorial Elementary School (math 27% / reading 42%, grade F, #1,577 of 2,108 statewide, top 77%, 789 students, 44% FRL); Newfield High School (math 77% / reading 77%, grade A-, #583 of 1,100 statewide, top 56%, 1,559 students, 35% FRL) — zoned schools average 39% FRL vs 22% district-wide (17 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.7%/yr); 232 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 1,366 units permitted in Suffolk County in 2024 (216 in 5+ unit buildings).
Suffolk County population projected to shrink 5% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
4 sale attempts since 12y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $390k; list at $950k implies a 144% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 72% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 6.3% vs local median 3.5% in Coram — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $8,608/mo this rent would consume 100% of the median local household income ($103k/yr) (locally 994% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 103 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-GZGK3A2MGWA0T1
· Data 15 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29