6 bd · 2.0 ba ·
750 sqft ·
Built 2018
· Other
· Active
· 221 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,449/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,049
Tax + insurance
−$124
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$304
Net cashflow
$-28/mo
Annual
$-331/yr
Cap rate
6.13%
Cash-on-cash
-0.59%
DSCR
0.97
1% rule
0.72%
Cash to close
$56,000
Investor read
This is a 6-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $200k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-28 ($-331/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $195k (2.4% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $145k (27.5% below list).
It's been on market 221 days — a 12% lower offer ($176k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $145k (27.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 56/100 on livability (#351 in LA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
Tangipahoa Parish (rural): math 18% / reading 29% proficiency, ranked #63 of 98 in LA (top 64%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 73% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Independence Leadership Academy (math 12% / reading 17%, grade F, #516 of 646 statewide, top 82%, 601 students, 82% FRL); Independence Magnet (math 9% / reading 20%); Independence High Magnet (math 12% / reading 17%, grade F, #224 of 265 statewide, top 86%, 570 students, 80% FRL).
Market conditions: 110 active listings in the ZIP; 1,085 units permitted in Tangipahoa Parish in 2024 (378 in 5+ unit buildings).
Tangipahoa County population projected at +22% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
7 sale attempts since 20y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $145k; 38% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 6.1% vs local median 3.9% in Independence — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 221 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 28% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-H0F2SK2RYDFXH0
· Data 22 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29