2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
744 sqft ·
Built 1945
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 181 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$818/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$669
Tax + insurance
−$75
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$172
Net cashflow
$-98/mo
Annual
$-1,171/yr
Cap rate
5.37%
Cash-on-cash
-3.28%
DSCR
0.85
1% rule
0.64%
Cash to close
$35,700
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $128k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-98 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $110k (13.5% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $82k (35.8% below list).
It's been on market 181 days — a 12% lower offer ($112k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $82k (35.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $14k of equity ($882 loan paydown + $13k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 60/100 on livability (#328 in OK) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A-, crime B; Watch: health & safety C-, amenities F, commute F.
Checotah (town): math 32% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #72 of 270 in OK (top 27%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 72% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Marshall Es (422 students, 0% FRL); Checotah Ms (math 15% / reading 20%, grade F, #186 of 345 statewide, top 55%, 330 students, 0% FRL); Checotah Hs (math 12% / reading 17%, grade F, #348 of 447 statewide, top 79%, 394 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 72% district-wide (72 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Zoned-school proficiency averages 16% at this address vs 30% district-wide (-14 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Checotah average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
Watch-outs: built in 1945 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 151 active listings in the ZIP; 20 units permitted in McIntosh County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
McIntosh County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$35k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 5.4% vs local median 3.7% in Checotah — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 181 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 36% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1945 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-H0R9ST0H6D72KH
· Data 2 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29