4 bd · 2.5 ba ·
2,310 sqft ·
Built 2007
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 865 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,000/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,269
Tax + insurance
−$185
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$420
Net cashflow
$126/mo
Annual
$1,513/yr
Cap rate
6.92%
Cash-on-cash
2.23%
DSCR
1.10
1% rule
0.83%
Cash to close
$67,760
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $242k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $126 ($2k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $200k (17.4% below list).
It's been on market 865 days — a 12% lower offer ($213k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $200k (17.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $8k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $6k appreciation (2.6% local appreciation)).
Location reads 67/100 on livability (#107 in LA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety B+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
St. Mary Parish (town): math 28% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #37 of 98 in LA (top 38%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Franklin Junior High School (math 17% / reading 27%, grade F, #153 of 218 statewide, top 72%, 211 students, 88% FRL); Franklin Senior High School (math 5% / reading 37%, grade F, #179 of 265 statewide, top 68%, 297 students, 86% FRL) — zoned schools average 87% FRL vs 68% district-wide (19 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Zoned-school proficiency averages 22% at this address vs 34% district-wide (-12 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the St. Mary Parish average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
Market conditions: 93 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 37 units permitted in St. Mary Parish in 2024 (20 in 5+ unit buildings).
St. Mary County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
3 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $20k; list at $242k implies a 1110% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (2.6% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $68k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Cap rate 6.9% vs local median 5.5% in Franklin — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 865 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 17% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
This sits on a lake — are riparian / water-frontage rights deeded with the parcel? Any dock permits, shoreline easements, or HOA water-use restrictions?
What's the documented flood / surge / shoreline-erosion history here (FEMA AND non-FEMA — e.g., storm surge, creek backup, septic-field saturation)?
Any water-quality or seasonal algae-bloom issues that affect tenant satisfaction or short-term-rental demand?
CashFlowRE · CFR-H14RTGEJRXWMNM
· Data 1 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29