1 bd · 3.0 ba ·
2,214 sqft ·
Built 1947
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 48 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$890/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$886
Tax + insurance
−$251
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$187
Net cashflow
$-433/mo
Annual
$-5,199/yr
Cap rate
3.21%
Cash-on-cash
-10.99%
DSCR
0.51
1% rule
0.53%
Cash to close
$47,289
Investor read
This is a 1-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $169k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-433 ($-5k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $92k (45.3% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $89k (47.3% below list).
It's been on market 48 days — a 3% lower offer ($164k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $89k (47.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 74/100 on livability (#196 in MI, #4,946 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, employment F.
Flint School District (urban): math 7% / reading 13% proficiency, ranked #714 of 760 in MI (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 83% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Holmes Stem Middle School Academy (math 10% / reading 30%, grade F, #420 of 493 statewide, top 86%, 324 students, 90% FRL).
Watch-outs: built in 1947 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 204 active listings in the ZIP; 419 units permitted in Genesee County in 2024 (68 in 5+ unit buildings).
Genesee County population projected at -27% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
8 sale attempts since 9y ago; this cycle's ask is 38% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
Current owner paid $35k; list at $169k implies a 387% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Cap rate 3.2% vs local median 11.5% in Flint — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 48 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 47% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1947 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-H1BAKMCXPM6DVN
· Data 23 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29