2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,336 sqft ·
Built 1995
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 4 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,331/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$918
Tax + insurance
−$303
HOA
−$5
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$279
Net cashflow
$-175/mo
Annual
$-2,099/yr
Cap rate
5.09%
Cash-on-cash
-4.28%
DSCR
0.81
1% rule
0.76%
Cash to close
$49,000
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $175k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-175 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $144k (17.7% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $133k (24.0% below list).
Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $133k (24.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 68/100 on livability (#229 in KS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, employment A; Watch: crime C-, amenities F, commute F.
Derby (suburban): math 29% / reading 36% proficiency, ranked #66 of 169 in KS (top 39%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Park Hill Elementary (math 47% / reading 57%, grade C-, #131 of 684 statewide, top 23%, 407 students, 30% FRL); Derby North Middle School (math 29% / reading 29%, grade F, #85 of 219 statewide, top 40%, 828 students, 48% FRL); Derby High School (math 17% / reading 21%, grade F, #230 of 327 statewide, top 71%, 2,172 students, 43% FRL).
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.9%/yr); 282 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 16d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 2,613 units permitted in Sedgwick County in 2024 (258 in 5+ unit buildings).
Sedgwick County population projected at +5% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-H1F8QRCZWTBKSS
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29