2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,680 sqft ·
Built 1998
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 253 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,621/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$781
Tax + insurance
−$248
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$341
Net cashflow
$251/mo
Annual
$3,015/yr
Cap rate
8.32%
Cash-on-cash
7.23%
DSCR
1.32
1% rule
1.09%
Cash to close
$41,720
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $149k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $251 ($3k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $149k).
It's been on market 253 days — a 12% lower offer ($131k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $131k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 66/100 on livability (#618 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
Highlands (other): math 45% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #54 of 73 in FL (top 74%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Cracker Trail Elementary School (math 60% / reading 58%, grade B-, #722 of 2,144 statewide, top 34%, 692 students, 62% FRL); Sebring Middle School (math 52% / reading 40%, grade D+, #300 of 571 statewide, top 53%, 815 students, 64% FRL); Sebring High School (math 32% / reading 48%, grade F, #296 of 667 statewide, top 45%, 1,809 students, 56% FRL).
Market conditions: 392 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 980 units permitted in Highlands County in 2024 (80 in 5+ unit buildings).
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→26/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 8.3% vs local median 4.3% in Sebring — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 253 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
This sits on a lake — are riparian / water-frontage rights deeded with the parcel? Any dock permits, shoreline easements, or HOA water-use restrictions?
What's the documented flood / surge / shoreline-erosion history here (FEMA AND non-FEMA — e.g., storm surge, creek backup, septic-field saturation)?
Any water-quality or seasonal algae-bloom issues that affect tenant satisfaction or short-term-rental demand?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-H1XN1D43NV8TTF
· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29