3 bd · 1.5 ba ·
2,060 sqft ·
Built 1881
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 95 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$5,166/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,520
Tax + insurance
−$483
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$1,085
Net cashflow
$2,078/mo
Annual
$24,937/yr
Cap rate
14.89%
Cash-on-cash
30.72%
DSCR
2.37
1% rule
1.78%
Cash to close
$81,172
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $290k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($25k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($5k rent vs $290k).
It's been on market 95 days — a 9% lower offer ($264k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $264k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $19k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $17k appreciation (5.9% local appreciation)).
Location reads 63/100 on livability (#785 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety D-.
Coxsackie-Athens Central School District (town): math 43% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #384 of 590 in NY (top 65%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Edward J Arthur Elementary School (math 44% / reading 64%, grade C, #908 of 2,108 statewide, top 46%, 184 students, 40% FRL); Coxsackie-Athens Middle School (math 22% / reading 46%, grade F, #497 of 729 statewide, top 69%, 364 students, 41% FRL); Coxsackie-Athens High School (math 87% / reading 82%, grade A, #379 of 1,100 statewide, top 36%, 365 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools at 27% FRL track the district average.
Watch-outs: built in 1881 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 91 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 97 units permitted in Greene County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Greene County population projected at -22% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
3 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (5.9% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $81k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 95 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1881 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
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· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29