3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,388 sqft ·
Built 1967
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 165 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,251/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$419
Tax + insurance
−$95
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$263
Net cashflow
$474/mo
Annual
$5,692/yr
Cap rate
13.42%
Cash-on-cash
25.44%
DSCR
2.13
1% rule
1.57%
Cash to close
$22,372
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $80k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $474 ($6k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $80k).
It's been on market 165 days — a 12% lower offer ($70k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $70k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $552 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 77/100 on livability (#35 in IN, #2,834 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D+, schools D, commute F.
Maconaquah School Corporation (rural): math 25% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #213 of 301 in IN (top 71%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Market conditions: 129 active listings in the ZIP; 35 units permitted in Miami County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Miami County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 13.4% vs local median 6.1% in Peru — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 165 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1967 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-H2CQVH3QJ6CD9Z
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29