2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,154 sqft ·
Built 1900
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 395 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$986/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$236
Tax + insurance
−$522
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$207
Net cashflow
$21/mo
Annual
$256/yr
Cap rate
18.24%
Cash-on-cash
42.66%
DSCR
2.90
1% rule
2.19%
Cash to close
$12,600
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $45k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $21 ($256/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($986 rent vs $45k).
It's been on market 395 days — a 12% lower offer ($40k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $40k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-0.9%/yr); year-one equity from $311 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $414 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 64/100 on livability (#387 in IN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, schools F, amenities F.
Western Wayne Schools (town): math 25% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #215 of 301 in IN (top 71%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo; built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 24 active listings in the ZIP; 38 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Wayne County population projected at -21% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 395 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-H3CY4R9054W09R
· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29