4 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,992 sqft ·
Built 1984
· Other
· Active
· 80 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,382/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,547
Tax + insurance
−$560
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$500
Net cashflow
$-225/mo
Annual
$-2,700/yr
Cap rate
5.38%
Cash-on-cash
-3.27%
DSCR
0.85
1% rule
0.81%
Cash to close
$82,600
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $295k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-225 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $255k (13.5% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $238k (19.3% below list).
It's been on market 80 days — a 6% lower offer ($277k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $238k (19.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $12k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $10k appreciation (3.4% local appreciation)).
Location reads 68/100 on livability (#38 in VT) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety D, amenities F, commute F.
Zoned schools: Sharon Elementary School (math 27% / reading 57%, grade F, #84 of 192 statewide, top 48%, 170 students, 38% FRL).
Market conditions: 9 active listings in the ZIP; 339 units permitted in Windsor County in 2024 (240 in 5+ unit buildings).
Windsor County population projected at -21% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$30k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 80 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 19% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-H3R8ZDCB84N4BA
· Data 3 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29