3 bd · 2.5 ba ·
1,640 sqft ·
Built 2001
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 141 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,940/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,127
Tax + insurance
−$492
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$407
Net cashflow
$-86/mo
Annual
$-1,033/yr
Cap rate
5.81%
Cash-on-cash
-1.72%
DSCR
0.92
1% rule
0.90%
Cash to close
$60,172
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $215k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-86 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $200k (7.1% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $194k (9.7% below list).
It's been on market 141 days — a 12% lower offer ($189k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $189k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
Dekalb County (suburban): math 19% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #125 of 174 in GA (top 72%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Chapel Hill Elementary School (math 5% / reading 15%, grade F, #1,076 of 1,228 statewide, top 89%, 559 students, 100% FRL); Salem Middle School (math 5% / reading 16%, grade F, #429 of 470 statewide, top 91%, 988 students, 100% FRL); Martin Luther King- Jr. High School (math 8% / reading 22%, grade F, #297 of 424 statewide, top 74%, 1,440 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 68% district-wide (32 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.6%/yr); 254 active listings in the ZIP; 27 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,240 units permitted in DeKalb County in 2024 (385 in 5+ unit buildings).
DeKalb County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
5 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $25k (10%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $131k; list at $215k implies a 64% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 141 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-H3TPWG452F6A64
· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29