6 bd · 4.0 ba ·
2,590 sqft ·
Built 2009
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 81 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$3,372/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,835
Tax + insurance
−$571
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$708
Net cashflow
$258/mo
Annual
$3,091/yr
Cap rate
7.18%
Cash-on-cash
3.15%
DSCR
1.14
1% rule
0.96%
Cash to close
$98,000
Investor read
This is a 6-bed/4.0-bath multifamily listed at $350k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $258 ($3k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $337k (3.7% below list).
It's been on market 81 days — a 6% lower offer ($329k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $329k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 71/100 on livability (#307 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, amenities F, commute F.
Troy ISD (rural): math 44% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #257 of 826 in TX (top 31%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Edna Bigham Mays El (421 students, 63% FRL); Raymond Mays Middle (math 42% / reading 42%, grade D-, #572 of 1,662 statewide, top 36%, 382 students, 52% FRL); Troy H S (math 47% / reading 57%, grade D+, #447 of 1,632 statewide, top 29%, 487 students, 41% FRL).
Market conditions: 147 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 3,222 units permitted in Bell County in 2024 (246 in 5+ unit buildings).
Bell County population projected at +21% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
2 sale attempts since 12y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 66% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 7.2% vs local median 4.0% in Troy — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $3,372/mo this rent would consume 47% of the median local household income ($85k/yr) (locally 210% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 81 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
CashFlowRE · CFR-H47GMA71Q3YE6Z
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29