5 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,792 sqft ·
Built 1920
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 4 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,686/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$656
Tax + insurance
−$98
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$354
Net cashflow
$579/mo
Annual
$6,951/yr
Cap rate
11.85%
Cash-on-cash
19.86%
DSCR
1.88
1% rule
1.35%
Cash to close
$35,000
Investor read
This is a 5-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $125k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $579 ($7k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $125k).
Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $864 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
Dinwiddie County Public School District (rural): math 45% / reading 64% proficiency, ranked #81 of 131 in VA (top 62%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Midway Elementary (math 77% / reading 67%, grade A-, #273 of 1,108 statewide, top 27%, 346 students, 89% FRL); Dinwiddie County Middle (math 34% / reading 62%, grade C-, #247 of 342 statewide, top 74%, 958 students, 84% FRL); Dinwiddie County High (math 51% / reading 70%, grade C+, #244 of 319 statewide, top 77%, 1,290 students, 83% FRL) — zoned schools average 85% FRL vs 46% district-wide (39 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 11 active listings in the ZIP; 82 units permitted in Dinwiddie County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Dinwiddie County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $35k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: moderate wind risk, 26% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 11.9% vs local median 3.0% in Dinwiddie — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-H5A82874A3ETM3
· Data 4 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29