3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,216 sqft ·
Built 2024
· Manufactured
· Active
· 117 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,288/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$78
Tax + insurance
−$25
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$270
Net cashflow
$914/mo
Annual
$10,973/yr
Cap rate
79.93%
Cash-on-cash
263.00%
DSCR
12.70
1% rule
8.64%
Cash to close
$4,172
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $15k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $914 ($11k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $15k).
It's been on market 117 days — a 9% lower offer ($14k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $14k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $103 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $447 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 70/100 on livability (#149 in IN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B+; Watch: employment D, amenities F, commute F.
East Allen County Schools (suburban): math 36% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #122 of 301 in IN (top 40%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Prince Chapman Academy (math 16% / reading 20%, grade F, #834 of 994 statewide, top 84%, 793 students, 86% FRL); Paul Harding Jr High School (math 11% / reading 25%, grade F, #279 of 330 statewide, top 86%, 430 students, 88% FRL); New Haven Jr/Sr High School (math 21% / reading 50%, grade F, #263 of 369 statewide, top 72%, 1,494 students, 67% FRL) — zoned schools average 80% FRL vs 43% district-wide (37 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Zoned-school proficiency averages 24% at this address vs 42% district-wide (-18 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the East Allen County Schools average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.9%/yr); 133 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 1,861 units permitted in Allen County in 2024 (576 in 5+ unit buildings).
Allen County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
3 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $8k (33%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.9% rent growth), your $4k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 79.9% vs local median 4.8% in New Haven — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($48k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 117 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-H5CRNW7JPP4H8A
· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29