2 bd · 1.5 ba ·
1,031 sqft ·
Built —
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 77 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$950/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$655
Tax + insurance
−$97
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$200
Net cashflow
$-2/mo
Annual
$-18/yr
Cap rate
6.28%
Cash-on-cash
-0.05%
DSCR
1.00
1% rule
0.76%
Cash to close
$34,972
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $125k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-2 ($-18/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $125k (0.2% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $95k (23.9% below list).
It's been on market 77 days — a 6% lower offer ($117k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $95k (23.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $5k of equity ($864 loan paydown + $4k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 64/100 on livability (#178 in AR) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A, housing B; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
Highland School District (town): math 43% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #66 of 238 in AR (top 28%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Cherokee Elementary School (math 58% / reading 40%, grade D, #108 of 454 statewide, top 24%, 594 students, 100% FRL); Highland Middle School (math 41% / reading 36%, grade F, #105 of 201 statewide, top 52%, 492 students, 100% FRL); Highland High School (math 31% / reading 44%, grade F, #62 of 292 statewide, top 21%, 526 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 56% district-wide (44 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Market conditions: 60 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 4 units permitted in Sharp County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Sharp County population projected at -11% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
4 sale attempts since 7y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $62k; list at $125k implies a 100% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $35k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 8, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 77 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 24% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-H5H7M408CJK5P9
· Data 3 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29