2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,630 sqft ·
Built 1968
· Condo
· Pending
· 90 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,683/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$839
Tax + insurance
−$265
HOA
−$302
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$353
Net cashflow
$-76/mo
Annual
$-911/yr
Cap rate
5.72%
Cash-on-cash
-2.03%
DSCR
0.91
1% rule
1.05%
Cash to close
$44,800
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $160k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-76 ($-911/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $147k (8.4% below list).
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $160k).
It's been on market 90 days — a 6% lower offer ($150k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $147k (8.4% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 85/100 on livability (#4 in NE, #482 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities D-, commute F.
Papillion La Vista Community Schools (suburban): math 54% / reading 58% proficiency, ranked #23 of 111 in NE (top 21%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 16% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Zoned schools: Carriage Hill Elementary Sch (math 43% / reading 45%, grade F, #317 of 502 statewide, top 63%, 383 students, 39% FRL); Papillion Middle School (math 51% / reading 60%, grade B-, #30 of 128 statewide, top 23%, 659 students, 29% FRL); Papillion La Vista South Hs (math 59% / reading 61%, grade C+, #48 of 261 statewide, top 18%, 1,965 students, 20% FRL).
Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.5%/yr); 616 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 4d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 1,612 units permitted in Sarpy County in 2024 (364 in 5+ unit buildings).
Sarpy County population projected at +41% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
6 sale attempts since 23y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $9k (5%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $74k; list at $160k implies a 116% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Cap rate 5.7% vs local median 2.6% in Papillion — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent is only 17% of the median local income ($117k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 90 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 8% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1968 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
CashFlowRE · CFR-H69BYW63ZHGV0A
· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29