4 bd · 3.0 ba ·
1,915 sqft ·
Built 2004
· Townhouse
· Active
· 113 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,439/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$328
Tax + insurance
−$104
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$302
Net cashflow
$705/mo
Annual
$8,460/yr
Cap rate
19.83%
Cash-on-cash
48.34%
DSCR
3.15
1% rule
2.30%
Cash to close
$17,500
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/3.0-bath townhouse listed at $62k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $705 ($8k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $62k).
It's been on market 113 days — a 9% lower offer ($57k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $57k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $432 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 72/100 on livability (#49 in ID) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: health & safety A, housing B; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
Mccall-Donnelly Joint School District (rural): math 59% / reading 74% proficiency, ranked #8 of 92 in ID (top 9%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Barbara R Morgan Elementary (math 64% / reading 70%, grade B+, #31 of 357 statewide, top 10%, 428 students, 21% FRL); Payette Lakes Middle School (math 55% / reading 78%, grade A-, #2 of 109 statewide, top 1%, 310 students, 19% FRL); Mccall-Donnelly High School (math 62% / reading 82%, grade B+, #7 of 169 statewide, top 4%, 429 students, 11% FRL).
Market conditions: 525 active listings in the ZIP; 250 units permitted in Valley County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Valley County population projected at +7% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
5 sale attempts since 11y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 113 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-H69QHD1FFR24HK
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29