2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
660 sqft ·
Built 1975
· Manufactured
· Active
· 62 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,697/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$991
Tax + insurance
−$187
HOA
−$65
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$356
Net cashflow
$97/mo
Annual
$1,167/yr
Cap rate
6.91%
Cash-on-cash
2.20%
DSCR
1.10
1% rule
0.90%
Cash to close
$52,920
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $189k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $97 ($1k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $170k (10.2% below list).
It's been on market 62 days — a 6% lower offer ($178k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $170k (10.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 72/100 on livability (#216 in WA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, crime A; Watch: commute D+, employment D+, schools F.
Ocean Beach School District (rural): math 34% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #212 of 291 in WA (top 73%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Market conditions: 311 active listings in the ZIP; 90 units permitted in Pacific County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Pacific County population projected at -10% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Current owner paid $147k; 29% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Cap rate 6.9% vs local median 4.2% in Ocean Park — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 62 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 10% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1975 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-H6VTKJ9MRCMZB0
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29