2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,139 sqft ·
Built 1952
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 44 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,131/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$933
Tax + insurance
−$146
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$237
Net cashflow
$-186/mo
Annual
$-2,232/yr
Cap rate
5.04%
Cash-on-cash
-4.48%
DSCR
0.80
1% rule
0.64%
Cash to close
$49,840
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $178k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-186 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $145k (18.5% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $113k (36.5% below list).
It's been on market 44 days — a 3% lower offer ($173k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $113k (36.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $14k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $13k appreciation (7.3% local appreciation)).
Location reads 81/100 on livability (#4 in MT, #1,349 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities D, commute F.
Baker K-12 Schools (rural): math 42% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #52 of 116 in MT (top 45%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; only 18% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Zoned schools: Baker 7-8 (math 32% / reading 32%, grade F, #98 of 146 statewide, top 68%, 58 students, 0% FRL); Baker High School (math 44% / reading 64%, grade C-, #7 of 132 statewide, top 5%, 128 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 18% district-wide (18 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Watch-outs: built in 1952 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 11 active listings in the ZIP.
Fallon County population projected at +47% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$35k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 44 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 36% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1952 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-H6YTF35NQYETPQ
· Data 2 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29